TITLE

The Inter-relationship of Temporally Distinct Risk Markers and the Transition from Childhood Physical Aggression to Adolescent Violent Delinquency

AUTHOR(S)
Nagin, Daniel S.; Barker, Ted; Lacourse, Eric; Tremblay, Richard E.
PUB. DATE
June 2009
SOURCE
Monatsschrift fuer Kriminologie und Strafrechtsreform;jun2009, Vol. 92 Issue 2/3, p102
SOURCE TYPE
Academic Journal
DOC. TYPE
Article
ABSTRACT
A key aim of life course research is identification of whether turning point events such as marriage, entry into the work force or the military, grade retention, or joining a gang affect behavioral trajectories. The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate an analytical strategy laid out in Nagin (2005) for analyzing the impact of such impacts in the context of the dual group-based trajectory model. The method is demonstrated with an analysis of the linkage between trajectories of childhood physical aggression and trajectories of violent delinquency in adolescents. The analysis examines whether the linkage is affected by turning point events in early adolescence and by pre-existing childhood vulnerabilities. The key findings were: (1) pre-existing vulnerabilities did not seem to influence the transition from the childhood physical aggression trajectory to the adolescent violence trajectory, (2) drug use at age 12 was associated with a generalized increase in the risk of transition to an elevated trajectory of adolescent violence, (3) the impacts of first-time grade retention and gang membership seemed to be more limited: The former seemed to increase the risk of following the trajectory of increasing adolescent violence and the latter seemed to heighten the risk of following the peaking trajectory, and (4) there was no systematic evidence of an interaction between vulnerabilities and contemporaneous turning point events.
ACCESSION #
43288385

 

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