Predicting the impact of global warming on soil water resources in marginal forests of the Middle Volga Region

Kolomyts, E.; Surova, N.
January 2010
Water Resources;Jan2010, Vol. 37 Issue 1, p89
Academic Journal
The response of local forest ecosystems to changes in summer soil moisture content in the context of possible climate changes. A procedure for local hydrological forecasting is presented. Calculations based on prediction climate models GISS and HadCM3 for forest ecosystems on zonal ecotones between forest and steppe showed a progressive development in the XXI century of a thermoarid trend with pronounced soil drying during the vegetation period, which should result in decay of broad-leaved and mixed forests and their replacement by small-leaved-pine and oak-grove forest-steppe.


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