Sensitivity and Risk Analyses for the Evaluation of Transport Investments

Inturri, Giuseppe; Ignaccolo, Matteo; Caprì, Salvatore
December 2012
Engineering Management Research;Dec2012, Vol. 1 Issue 2, p16
Academic Journal
Access to Structural Funds of the European Union for the realisation of infrastructural projects having a value in excess of 50 M€ requires advance preparation of economic and financial analyses including sensitivity and risk analyses for the probabilistic evaluation of uncertainties linked to the investment financing. This work illustrates the techniques and methods necessary in order to carry out such analyses, with reference to the case study of the Catania underground railway line.


Related Articles

  • Probability and Sensitivity Analysis of Plate. Katarína, TVRDÁ // Applied Mechanics & Materials;2014, Issue 617, p193 

    This paper deals with some problems of the ceiling plate, made of the Cobiax-system. Cobiax provides a system to produce voided, biaxial, flat plate slabs as a high-quality concrete solution for large spans and slim slabs. Plastic voids in the shape of spheres or flattened spheres are contained...

  • Countrywide Positioning of Domestic Solar Water Heating Systems Using Risk Analysis and Geographical Information System. Lugarić, Luka; Majdand0žić, Ljubomir; Škrlec, Davor // Strojniski Vestnik / Journal of Mechanical Engineering;Jan2010, Vol. 56 Issue 1, p3 

    In this paper, choosing appropriate locations for household solar water heating systems within a country is based on assessing project feasibility by using solar irradiation integrated in a geographical information system (GIS) and investment risk analysis, based on uncertainties in project...

  • Modelling of Transport Project Uncertainties: Feasibility Risk Assessment and Scenario Analysis. Salling, Kim Bang; Leleur, Steen // European Journal of Transport & Infrastructure Research;Dec2011, Vol. 12 Issue 1, p21 

    This paper proposes a new way of handling the uncertainties present in transport decision making based on infrastructure appraisals. The paper suggests to combine the principle of Optimism Bias, which depicts the historical tendency of overestimating transport related benefits and...

  • Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of coastal flood damage estimates in the west of the Netherlands. De Moel, H.; Asselman, N. E. M.; Aerts, J. C. J. H. // Natural Hazards & Earth System Sciences;2012, Vol. 12 Issue 4, p1045 

    Uncertainty analyses of flood damage assessments generally require a large amount of model evaluations. This is often hampered by the high computational costs necessary to calculate flood extents and depths using 2-dimensional flow models. In this paper we developed a new approach to estimate...

  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Six Vapour Intrusion Algorithms. Provoost, Jeroen; Reijnders, Lucas; Bronders, Jan; Van Keer, Ilse; Govaerts, Steven // Environment & Pollution;Apr2014, Vol. 3 Issue 2, p1 

    A probabilistic assessment with sensitivity analysis using Monte Carlo simulation for six vapour intrusion algorithms, used in various regulatory frameworks for contaminated land management, is presented here. In addition a deterministic approach with default parameter sets is evaluated against...

  • Sensitivity Analysis in Radiological Risk Assessment using Double Monte Carlo Method. Boruah, Hrishikesh; Ali, Tazid; Dutta, Palash // International Journal of Computer Applications;May2012, Vol. 46, p16 

    Sensitivity analysis is a study of how changes in the inputs to a model influence the results of the model. Many techniques are available when the model is probabilistic. In this paper we consider a related problem of sensitivity analysis when the model includes uncertain variable that can...

  • Health risk assessment of odors emitted from urban wastewater pump stations in Tianjin, China. Niu, Zhi-Guang; Xu, Shi-Ying; Gong, Qing-Chao // Environmental Science & Pollution Research;Sep2014, Vol. 21 Issue 17, p10349 

    In order to evaluate the potential adverse health effects of odor emissions from wastewater pump stations (WWPSs) to human, a health risk assessment was performed to study the odors emitted from an urban WWPS in a residential area, Tianjin (in North China). First, 15 types of volatile organic...

  • Multi-pathway assessment of human health risk posed by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Qu, Changsheng; Li, Bing; Wu, Haisuo; Wang, Shui; Giesy, John // Environmental Geochemistry & Health;Jun2015, Vol. 37 Issue 3, p587 

    To assess aggregate exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) via several environmental media and pathways, a probabilistic framework for multi-pathway health risk assessment that integrates PAHs potency equivalence factors, risk estimation modeling, and Monte Carlo simulation was...

  • Characterization and risk assessment of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in urban atmospheric Particulate of Tehran, Iran. Hoseini, Mohammad; Yunesian, Masud; Nabizadeh, Ramin; Yaghmaeian, Kamyar; Ahmadkhaniha, Reza; Rastkari, Noushin; Parmy, Saeid; Faridi, Sasan; Rafiee, Ata; Naddafi, Kazem // Environmental Science & Pollution Research;Jan2016, Vol. 23 Issue 2, p1820 

    In this study, atmospheric concentrations of particulate-bound polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Tehran megacity were determined to investigate the concentration, distribution, and sources of PAHs in PM. The health risk from exposure to airborne BaPeq through inhalation pathway was also...


Read the Article


Sorry, but this item is not currently available from your library.

Try another library?
Sign out of this library

Other Topics